Apoel BC vs AEL prediction
Apoel BC
19
24
14
23
AEL
25
17
17
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Apoel BC8078AEL7380Apoel BC8078AEL7380Total 158 Margin AEL by 2 Win AEL 54% Actual 153 · APO won
Apoel BC
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction AEL
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Apoel BC vs AEL
Apoel BC
AEL
Last 28 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Apoel BC 1, AEL 2.
- Average total 169.0 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 2 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting AEL by 14 Mar 21, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 21, 2026 Division A AEL 78–64 Apoel BC 142 pts
- Jan 12, 2026 Division A Apoel BC 89–103 AEL 192 pts
- Oct 24, 2025 Division A AEL 77–96 Apoel BC 173 pts
Last five games
Apoel BC
2-3 - May 1: AEK Larnaca 85, Apoel BC 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Apoel BC 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: AEK Larnaca 89, Apoel BC 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Apoel BC 82, AEK Larnaca 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 17: AEK Larnaca 99, Apoel BC 77. Lost. No odds on record.
AEL
2-3 - Oct 6: Spartak Pleven 61, AEL 79. Won. Odds: Spartak Pleven 1.60, AEL 2.24.
- May 2: Keravnos 92, AEL 60. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 29: AEL 87, Keravnos 82. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Keravnos 86, AEL 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 22: AEL 81, Keravnos 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 18.0 — Apoel BC −1.9 per 100 possessions, AEL +16.1.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for AEL.
- 169.0 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 155.5.
- 5th vs 3rd in the Division A standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| APO moneyline | 2.22 | moved down 2.20 |
| AEL moneyline | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Total points | 155.5 | 155.5 |
| APO spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Division A standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Larnaca |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 345 | 270 | +75 |
| 2 |  Keravnos |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 370 | 303 | +67 |
| 3 | AEL |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 307 | 276 | +31 |
| 4 |  ETHA Engomi |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 274 | 290 | −16 |
| 5 | Apoel BC |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 243 | 218 | +25 |
| 6 |  Morphou |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 272 | 312 | −40 |
| 7 |  Paralimni |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 243 | 253 | −10 |
| 8 |  Anorthosis |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 301 | 329 | −28 |
| 9 |  Apollon |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 221 | 268 | −47 |
| 10 |  Achilleas K. |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 269 | −57 |
- Winners stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Apoel BC host AEL in the Division A on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.