Anadolu Efes vs Denizli Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin ANA by 3 Win ANA 60% Actual 161 · ANA won
Anadolu Efes vs Denizli Basket
Last 14 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Anadolu Efes at home, last 7 games · Denizli Basket away, last 7
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 9: Olympiacos 89, Anadolu Efes 66. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.16, Anadolu Efes 5.30.
- Oct 4: Bordo Bandirma 79, Anadolu Efes 85. Won. Odds: Bordo Bandirma 3.33, Anadolu Efes 1.30.
- Oct 1: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 77, Anadolu Efes 72. Lost. Odds: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.62, Anadolu Efes 2.30.
- Sep 29: Anadolu Efes 94, Real Madrid 84. Won. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.99, Real Madrid 1.83.
- Sep 27: Anadolu Efes 95, Besiktas 81. Won. Odds: Anadolu Efes 1.43, Besiktas 2.76.
- Oct 6: Denizli Basket 83, BC Prievidza 69. Won. Odds: Denizli Basket 1.10, BC Prievidza 6.15.
- Oct 3: Denizli Basket 101, Tofas 87. Won. Odds: Denizli Basket 2.23, Tofas 1.63.
- Sep 26: Petkim Spor 85, Denizli Basket 81. Lost. Odds: Petkim Spor 1.43, Denizli Basket 2.76.
- Sep 15: Vechta 101, Denizli Basket 98. Lost. Odds: Vechta 1.30, Denizli Basket 3.25.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Denizli Basket, 1 for Anadolu Efes.
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.7 — Anadolu Efes +1.9 per 100 possessions, Denizli Basket −5.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ANA moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.11 |
| DEN moneyline | 7.40 | moved down 6.03 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 170.5 |
| ANA spread | −12.5 | −12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketbol Süper Ligi standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 491 | 430 | +61 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 552 | 520 | +32 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 530 | 498 | +32 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 500 | 492 | +8 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 499 | 503 | −4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 428 | 386 | +42 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 475 | +55 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 485 | 495 | −10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 476 | 508 | −32 | |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 418 | 417 | +1 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 492 | 507 | −15 | |
| 12 | Bordo Bandirma | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 498 | 514 | −16 |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 413 | 444 | −31 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 478 | 516 | −38 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 465 | 507 | −42 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 402 | 445 | −43 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation - TBL
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Anadolu Efes host Denizli Basket in the Basketbol Süper Ligi on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.