Alytaus Patriotai vs Vytis VDU prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin VYT by 6 Win VYT 67% Actual 215 · ALY won
Alytaus Patriotai vs Vytis VDU
Last 9 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
- Oct 8: Alytaus Patriotai 80, Suduva-Mantinga 87. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 6.70, Suduva-Mantinga 1.06.
- Oct 1: Jurbarkas 96, Alytaus Patriotai 68. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.16, Alytaus Patriotai 4.40.
- Sep 28: Alytaus Patriotai 83, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 6: Vytis VDU 88, Neptunas 2 84. Won. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.98, Neptunas 2 1.72.
- Oct 1: Ukmerges Stekas 89, Vytis VDU 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 1.65, Vytis VDU 2.05.
- Apr 28: Vytis VDU 86, Vilkaviskis 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Vilkaviskis 78, Vytis VDU 87. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 23: Vytis VDU 101, Vilkaviskis 91. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Vytis VDU coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Alytaus Patriotai dropped from 2.75 to 2.25 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 166.5 to 168.5 since it was first published.
- 9th vs 10th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALY moneyline | 2.75 | moved down 2.25 |
| VYT moneyline | 1.38 | moved up 1.57 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved up 168.5 |
| ALY spread | +5.5 | moved down +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alytaus Patriotai host Vytis VDU in the NKL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.