Alytaus Patriotai vs Suduva-Mantinga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin SUD by 11 Win SUD 75% Actual 167 · SUD won
Alytaus Patriotai vs Suduva-Mantinga
Last 9 and 8 games with full stats · all competitions
Alytaus Patriotai at home, last 5 games · Suduva-Mantinga away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 1: Jurbarkas 96, Alytaus Patriotai 68. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.16, Alytaus Patriotai 4.40.
- Sep 28: Alytaus Patriotai 83, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 108. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Suduva-Mantinga 76, Neptunas 2 68. Won. No odds on record.
- May 7: Neptunas 2 79, Suduva-Mantinga 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 2: Suduva-Mantinga 67, Neptunas 2 65. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Neptunas 2 69, Suduva-Mantinga 75. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Suduva-Mantinga 68, Neptunas 2 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 20.3 — Alytaus Patriotai +1.6 per 100 possessions, Suduva-Mantinga +21.9.
- 9th vs 8th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALY moneyline | 6.85 | moved down 6.70 |
| SUD moneyline | 1.04 | moved up 1.06 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| ALY spread | +15.5 | +15.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alytaus Patriotai host Suduva-Mantinga in the NKL on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.