Alytaus Patriotai vs Kretinga prediction
Alytaus Patriotai
25
23
25
17
Kretinga
15
21
13
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Alytaus Patriotai9090Kretinga7084Alytaus Patriotai9090Kretinga7084Total 174 Margin ALY by 6 Win ALY 65% Actual 160 · ALY won
Alytaus Patriotai
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Kretinga
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Alytaus Patriotai vs Kretinga
Alytaus Patriotai
Kretinga
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Alytaus Patriotai at home, last 5 games · Kretinga away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Alytaus Patriotai
2-3 - Oct 17: Silute 92, Alytaus Patriotai 77. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.35, Alytaus Patriotai 3.00.
- Oct 15: Alytaus Patriotai 110, Vytis VDU 105. After overtime. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 2.25, Vytis VDU 1.57.
- Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
- Oct 8: Alytaus Patriotai 80, Suduva-Mantinga 87. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 6.70, Suduva-Mantinga 1.06.
- Oct 1: Jurbarkas 96, Alytaus Patriotai 68. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.16, Alytaus Patriotai 4.40.
Kretinga
1-4 - Oct 17: Kauno Atletas 72, Kretinga 84. Won. Odds: Kauno Atletas 2.65, Kretinga 1.43.
- Oct 15: Kretinga 83, Suduva-Mantinga 88. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 4.90, Suduva-Mantinga 1.13.
- Oct 10: Kretinga 95, Ukmerges Stekas 99. Lost. Odds: Kretinga 1.93, Ukmerges Stekas 1.75.
- Oct 8: Plunges Olimpas 98, Kretinga 85. Lost. Odds: Plunges Olimpas 1.60, Kretinga 2.15.
- Oct 3: Vilkaviskis 84, Kretinga 65. Lost. Odds: Vilkaviskis 1.33, Kretinga 2.95.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alytaus Patriotai dropped from 1.75 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 12.0 — Alytaus Patriotai +1.6 per 100 possessions, Kretinga −10.4.
- −7.8 points away — Kretinga averaged 83.6 at home and 75.8 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Kretinga.
- 9th vs 15th in the NKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALY moneyline | 1.75 | moved down 1.60 |
| KRE moneyline | 1.93 | moved up 2.05 |
| Total points | 172.5 | 172.5 |
| ALY spread | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 |  Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 | Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 |  Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 |  Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 | Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 |  Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alytaus Patriotai host Kretinga in the NKL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.