Alytaus Patriotai vs Kauno Atletas prediction
Alytaus Patriotai
20
21
26
19
Kauno Atletas
26
13
12
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Alytaus Patriotai8685Kauno Atletas7584Alytaus Patriotai8685Kauno Atletas7584Total 169 Margin ALY by 1 Win ALY 55% Actual 161 · ALY won
Alytaus Patriotai vs Kauno Atletas
Alytaus Patriotai
Kauno Atletas
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Alytaus Patriotai at home, last 5 games · Kauno Atletas away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Alytaus Patriotai
0-3 - Oct 8: Alytaus Patriotai 80, Suduva-Mantinga 87. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 6.70, Suduva-Mantinga 1.06.
- Oct 1: Jurbarkas 96, Alytaus Patriotai 68. Lost. Odds: Jurbarkas 1.16, Alytaus Patriotai 4.40.
- Sep 28: Alytaus Patriotai 83, Zalgiris Kaunas 2 108. Lost. No odds on record.
Kauno Atletas
0-2 - Oct 8: Kauno Atletas 76, Vilkaviskis 84. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 4.05, Vilkaviskis 1.19.
- Oct 3: Kauno Atletas 78, Jurbarkas 102. Lost. Odds: Kauno Atletas 7.00, Jurbarkas 1.08.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Alytaus Patriotai coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Alytaus Patriotai dropped from 1.95 to 1.50 since they were first published.
- 0-5 away for Kauno Atletas this season.
- Over/under moved up from 163.5 to 166.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 26.0 — Alytaus Patriotai +1.6 per 100 possessions, Kauno Atletas −24.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALY moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.50 |
| KAU moneyline | 1.74 | moved up 2.37 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved up 166.5 |
| ALY spread | +1.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai |
10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 |
| 2 |  Jurbarkas |
9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 |
| 3 |  BC Olimpas Palanga |
10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 |
| 4 |  Neptunas 2 |
9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 |
| 5 |  Omega-Tauras |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 |
| 6 |  Silute |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 |
| 7 |  Plunges Olimpas |
10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 |
| 8 |  Suduva-Mantinga |
8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 |
| 9 | Alytaus Patriotai |
10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 |
| 10 |  Vytis VDU |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 |
| 11 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 |  Vilkaviskis |
9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 |
| 14 |  Ukmerges Stekas |
9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 |
| 15 |  Kretinga |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 |
| 16 |  Mazeikiai |
10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 |
| 17 |  Rytas 2 |
10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 |
| 18 | Kauno Atletas |
9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alytaus Patriotai host Kauno Atletas in the NKL on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.