Alytaus Patriotai vs BC Olimpas Palanga prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin BOP by 7 Win BOP 70% Actual 165 · BOP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Alytaus Patriotai vs BC Olimpas Palanga
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Alytaus Patriotai at home, last 5 games · BC Olimpas Palanga away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 24: Omega-Tauras 74, Alytaus Patriotai 85. Won. Odds: Omega-Tauras 1.20, Alytaus Patriotai 3.50.
- Oct 22: Alytaus Patriotai 90, Kretinga 70. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.60, Kretinga 2.05.
- Oct 17: Silute 92, Alytaus Patriotai 77. Lost. Odds: Silute 1.35, Alytaus Patriotai 3.00.
- Oct 15: Alytaus Patriotai 110, Vytis VDU 105. After overtime. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 2.25, Vytis VDU 1.57.
- Oct 10: Alytaus Patriotai 86, Kauno Atletas 75. Won. Odds: Alytaus Patriotai 1.50, Kauno Atletas 2.37.
- Oct 24: BC Olimpas Palanga 87, Vilkaviskis 81. Won. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.36, Vilkaviskis 2.60.
- Oct 22: Neptunas 2 78, BC Olimpas Palanga 77. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2 2.60, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.36.
- Oct 17: Ukmerges Stekas 76, BC Olimpas Palanga 107. Won. Odds: Ukmerges Stekas 2.75, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.40.
- Oct 15: BC Olimpas Palanga 102, Plunges Olimpas 76. Won. Odds: BC Olimpas Palanga 1.27, Plunges Olimpas 3.30.
- Oct 10: Rytas 2 81, BC Olimpas Palanga 103. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.90, BC Olimpas Palanga 1.36.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on BC Olimpas Palanga dropped from 1.68 to 1.44 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.3 — Alytaus Patriotai +1.6 per 100 possessions, BC Olimpas Palanga +14.9.
- −6.3 points away — BC Olimpas Palanga averaged 96.8 at home and 90.5 away this season.
- 4-1 in the last five for Alytaus Patriotai.
- 4-1 in the last five for BC Olimpas Palanga.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALY moneyline | 2.05 | moved up 2.40 |
| BOP moneyline | 1.68 | moved down 1.44 |
| Total points | 167.5 | 167.5 |
| ALY spread | +2.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alytaus Patriotai host BC Olimpas Palanga in the NKL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.