Alvik vs Ockelbo prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 155 Margin ALV by 7 Win ALV 68% Actual 186 · ALV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Alvik vs Ockelbo
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Alvik 3, Ockelbo 0.
- Average total 147.3 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALV by 13 Nov 1, 2026
Meetings
- Nov 1, 2026 Superettan Ockelbo 65–78 Alvik 143 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 Superettan Ockelbo 73–77 Alvik 150 pts
- Sep 20, 2025 Superettan Alvik 80–69 Ockelbo 149 pts
Last five games
- May 6: Alvik 82, Eskilstuna 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Eskilstuna 87, Alvik 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Alvik 81, Wetterbygden Stars 60. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Wetterbygden Stars 71, Alvik 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: IK Eos 74, Alvik 63. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Djurgarden 82, Ockelbo 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Ockelbo 72, Blackeberg 57. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Ockelbo 63, Malbas 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: Eskilstuna 97, Ockelbo 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Ockelbo 56, AIK Basket 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alvik dropped from 1.32 to 1.18 since they were first published.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Alvik.
- Net rating difference of 28.2 — Alvik +20.9 per 100 possessions, Ockelbo −7.3.
- 1-4 in the last five for Alvik.
- 1-4 in the last five for Ockelbo.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALV moneyline | 1.32 | moved down 1.18 |
| OCK moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 4.00 |
| Total points | 155.5 | 155.5 |
| ALV spread | −7.5 | −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Superettan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fryshuset Basket | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 725 | 652 | +73 |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 736 | 598 | +138 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 500 | 426 | +74 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 702 | 689 | +13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 575 | +41 | |
| 6 | Sollentuna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 679 | 628 | +51 |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 609 | 653 | −44 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 536 | 485 | +51 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 467 | 368 | +99 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 491 | 497 | −6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 586 | 666 | −80 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 457 | 525 | −68 | |
| 13 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 623 | 776 | −153 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 492 | 681 | −189 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alvik host Ockelbo in the Superettan on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.