Alvik vs Djurgarden prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 173 Margin ALV by 13 Win ALV 76% Actual 155 · ALV won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Alvik vs Djurgarden
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Alvik 1, Djurgarden 1.
- Average total 159.0 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALV by 4 Mar 15, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 15, 2026 Superettan Djurgarden 80–84 Alvik 164 pts
- Nov 26, 2025 Superettan Alvik 71–83 Djurgarden 154 pts
Last five games
- Oct 17: Trelleborg 84, Alvik 97. Won. Odds: Trelleborg 2.55, Alvik 1.45.
- Oct 10: Alvik 77, Fryshuset Basket 93. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.30, Fryshuset Basket 3.20.
- Oct 4: Alvik 90, Eskilstuna 63. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.67, Eskilstuna 2.05.
- Sep 27: Alvik 94, AIK Basket 101. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.34, AIK Basket 2.90.
- Sep 19: Alvik 127, Ockelbo 59. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.18, Ockelbo 4.00.
- Oct 11: Djurgarden 83, Cross Over 71. Won. Odds: Djurgarden 1.24, Cross Over 3.55.
- Oct 4: Norrort 87, Djurgarden 78. Lost. Odds: Norrort 1.07, Djurgarden 6.25.
- Sep 26: Eskilstuna 101, Djurgarden 76. Lost. Odds: Eskilstuna 1.13, Djurgarden 4.90.
- Sep 21: Djurgarden 62, AIK Basket 93. Lost. Odds: Djurgarden 3.00, AIK Basket 1.30.
- May 5: Djurgarden 94, Huddinge 86. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alvik dropped from 1.15 to 1.05 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 33.7 — Alvik +20.9 per 100 possessions, Djurgarden −12.8.
- 2nd vs 12th in the Superettan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALV moneyline | 1.15 | moved down 1.05 |
| DJU moneyline | 4.50 | moved up 8.75 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 170.5 |
| ALV spread | −10.5 | moved down −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Superettan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fryshuset Basket | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 725 | 652 | +73 |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 736 | 598 | +138 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 500 | 426 | +74 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 702 | 689 | +13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 575 | +41 | |
| 6 | Sollentuna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 679 | 628 | +51 |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 609 | 653 | −44 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 536 | 485 | +51 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 467 | 368 | +99 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 491 | 497 | −6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 586 | 666 | −80 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 457 | 525 | −68 | |
| 13 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 623 | 776 | −153 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 492 | 681 | −189 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alvik host Djurgarden in the Superettan on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.