Alvik vs AIK Basket prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Win BAS 52% Actual 195 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Alvik vs AIK Basket
Last 7 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Alvik 1, AIK Basket 1.
- Average total 154.5 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALV by 5 Dec 13, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 13, 2025 Superettan Alvik 79–74 AIK Basket 153 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 Superettan AIK Basket 93–63 Alvik 156 pts
Last five games
- Sep 19: Alvik 127, Ockelbo 59. Won. Odds: Alvik 1.18, Ockelbo 4.00.
- May 6: Alvik 82, Eskilstuna 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Eskilstuna 87, Alvik 83. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Alvik 81, Wetterbygden Stars 60. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Wetterbygden Stars 71, Alvik 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 21: Djurgarden 62, AIK Basket 93. Won. Odds: Djurgarden 3.00, AIK Basket 1.30.
- Apr 11: Trelleborg 106, AIK Basket 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Sollentuna 85, AIK Basket 87. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: AIK Basket 92, Trelleborg 71. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 14: AIK Basket 86, Aros Basket 75. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Alvik dropped from 1.83 to 1.34 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Alvik, 5 for AIK Basket.
- Net rating difference of 7.2 — Alvik +20.9 per 100 possessions, AIK Basket +13.7.
- 4-1 in the last five for AIK Basket.
- 2nd vs 3rd in the Superettan standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALV moneyline | 1.83 | moved down 1.34 |
| BAS moneyline | 1.83 | moved up 2.90 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
| ALV spread | −3.5 | moved down −7 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Superettan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fryshuset Basket | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 725 | 652 | +73 |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 736 | 598 | +138 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 500 | 426 | +74 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 702 | 689 | +13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 616 | 575 | +41 | |
| 6 | Sollentuna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 679 | 628 | +51 |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 609 | 653 | −44 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 536 | 485 | +51 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 467 | 368 | +99 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 491 | 497 | −6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 586 | 666 | −80 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 457 | 525 | −68 | |
| 13 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 623 | 776 | −153 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 492 | 681 | −189 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alvik host AIK Basket in the Superettan on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.