Alvark vs Saga Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 3.80 43.6% 13.3% +30.3% 51% Lost

Total points O156.5 1.34 82.0% 71.3% +10.7% 85% Won

Point spread SAG +21.5 1.29 79.1% 70.9% +8.2% 78% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Alvark9085

Saga7488

Total 173 actual 164

Winning margin SAG by 3 actual ALV by 16

Chance to win SAG 59% ALV won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Alvark9085

Saga7488

Total 173 Margin SAG by 3 Win SAG 59% Actual 164 · ALV won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Alvark large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Saga

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Alvark vs Saga

Alvark Saga

Last 14 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 170.0 points per meeting
Over 167.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
Last meeting ALV by 24 Oct 26, 2026

Meetings

Oct 26, 2026 B League Saga 88112 Alvark 200 pts
Feb 15, 2026 B League Alvark 9683 Saga 179 pts
Feb 14, 2026 B League Alvark 7871 Saga 149 pts
Dec 7, 2025 B League Saga 9077 Alvark 167 pts
Dec 6, 2025 B League Saga 9164 Alvark 155 pts

Last five games

Alvark 3-2

Oct 4: Chiba 71, Alvark 96. Won. Odds: Chiba 2.09, Alvark 1.69.
Oct 2: Chiba 131, Alvark 138. After overtime. Won. Odds: Chiba 2.82, Alvark 1.40.
Sep 23: Alvark 74, Ryukyu 85. Lost. Odds: Alvark 1.43, Ryukyu 2.68.
Sep 22: Alvark 84, Ryukyu 73. Won. Odds: Alvark 1.45, Ryukyu 2.63.
May 8: Nagasaki 96, Alvark 56. Lost. No odds on record.

Saga 1-4

Oct 4: Saga 89, NeoPhoenix 93. Lost. Odds: Saga 3.57, NeoPhoenix 1.26.
Oct 3: Saga 61, NeoPhoenix 97. Lost. Odds: Saga 2.42, NeoPhoenix 1.52.
Sep 27: Saga 61, Hiroshima D. 89. Lost. Odds: Saga 1.70, Hiroshima D. 2.07.
Sep 25: Saga 87, Hiroshima D. 100. Lost. Odds: Saga 1.62, Hiroshima D. 2.15.
May 3: Akita 70, Saga 87. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

4-game losing streak for Saga coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Saga dropped from 7.00 to 3.80 since they were first published.
Net rating difference of 44.8 — Alvark +19.8 per 100 possessions, Saga −25.0.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Alvark.
170.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 167.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ALV moneyline	1.07	moved up 1.22
SAG moneyline	7.00	moved down 3.80
Total points	166.5	moved up 167.5
ALV spread	−14.5	moved up −7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

B League standings

Regular Season · Eastern Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	+/−
1	Sendai	0	0	0	0	0
2	Toyama	0	0	0	0	0
3	Tokyo Sunrockers	0	0	0	0	0
4	Utsunomiya Brex	0	0	0	0	0
5	Levanga Hokkaido	0	0	0	0	0
6	Alvark	0	0	0	0	0
7	Brave Thunders	0	0	0	0	0
8	Akita	0	0	0	0	0
9	Yokohama	0	0	0	0	0
10	Chiba	0	0	0	0	0
11	Gunma	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ibaraki Robots	0	0	0	0	0
13	Altiri Chiba	0	0	0	0	0

Regular Season · Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	+/−
1	NeoPhoenix	0	0	0	0	0
2	Shiga	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osaka	0	0	0	0	0
4	Ryukyu	0	0	0	0	0
5	Kyoto	0	0	0	0	0
6	SeaHorses Mikawa	0	0	0	0	0
7	Diamond Dolphins	0	0	0	0	0
8	Shimane	0	0	0	0	0
9	Shinshu	0	0	0	0	0
10	Kobe	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hiroshima D.	0	0	0	0	0
12	Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0
13	Saga	0	0	0	0	0

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Alvark vs Saga prediction