Alkar vs Split prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin ALK by 4 Win ALK 59% Actual 151 · SPL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Alkar vs Split
Last 8 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Alkar 0, Split 3.
- Average total 156.3 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SPL by 16 Mar 29, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 29, 2026 Premijer liga Split 80–64 Alkar 144 pts
- Jan 9, 2026 Premijer liga Alkar 87–97 Split 184 pts
- Oct 17, 2025 Premijer liga Split 79–62 Alkar 141 pts
Last five games
- Oct 18: Virtus Zagreb 83, Alkar 78. Lost. Odds: Virtus Zagreb 1.44, Alkar 2.35.
- Oct 14: Spartak Pleven 93, Alkar 82. Lost. Odds: Spartak Pleven 1.53, Alkar 2.38.
- Oct 10: Alkar 73, Skrljevo 88. Lost. Odds: Alkar 1.26, Skrljevo 2.75.
- Oct 4: Samobor 91, Alkar 95. After overtime. Won. Odds: Samobor 1.42, Alkar 2.67.
- Sep 30: Zrinjski Mostar 87, Alkar 92. After overtime. Won. Odds: Zrinjski Mostar 1.78, Alkar 1.90.
- Oct 21: Trier 100, Split 80. Lost. Odds: Trier 1.06, Split 6.50.
- Oct 18: Split 73, Zadar 84. Lost. Odds: Split 1.80, Zadar 1.88.
- Oct 14: Split 69, Trepca 78. Lost. Odds: Split 1.24, Trepca 3.79.
- Oct 10: Dubrava 62, Split 86. Won. Odds: Dubrava 3.35, Split 1.16.
- Oct 7: Opava 68, Split 74. Won. Odds: Opava 2.40, Split 1.48.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Alkar coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Split coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Alkar dropped from 4.75 to 3.65 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Alkar, 3 for Split.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Split.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALK moneyline | 4.75 | moved down 3.65 |
| SPL moneyline | 1.13 | moved up 1.18 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved down 155.5 |
| ALK spread | +10.5 | moved down +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premijer liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 551 | 389 | +162 | |
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 544 | 463 | +81 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 542 | 478 | +64 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 491 | 453 | +38 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 460 | 487 | −27 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 484 | 510 | −26 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 480 | 537 | −57 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 475 | 502 | −27 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 479 | 530 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 474 | 507 | −33 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 461 | 506 | −45 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 441 | 520 | −79 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
- Relegation - Prva Liga
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alkar host Split in the Premijer liga on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.