Alftanes vs Keflavik prediction
Alftanes
29
34
32
35
Keflavik
32
29
32
17
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Alftanes13099Keflavik11089Alftanes13099Keflavik11089Total 188 Margin ALF by 10 Win ALF 74% Actual 240 · ALF won
Alftanes
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Keflavik
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Alftanes vs Keflavik
Alftanes
Keflavik
Last 24 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Alftanes at home, last 13 games · Keflavik away, last 15
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Alftanes 0, Keflavik 2.
- Average total 196.5 points per meeting
- Over 190.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting KEF by 10 Mar 6, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 6, 2026 Premier league Alftanes 96–106 Keflavik 202 pts
- Nov 21, 2025 Premier league Keflavik 101–90 Alftanes 191 pts
Last five games
Alftanes
3-2 - Oct 15: IR Reykjavik 88, Alftanes 119. Won. Odds: IR Reykjavik 5.00, Alftanes 1.14.
- Oct 8: Alftanes 114, Hottur 77. Won. Odds: Alftanes 1.04, Hottur 8.25.
- Mar 26: Alftanes 124, Stjarnan 115. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: Tindastoll 115, Alftanes 104. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 12: Alftanes 89, IR Reykjavik 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Keflavik
3-2 - Oct 15: Keflavik 106, Sindri 90. Won. Odds: Keflavik 1.12, Sindri 5.40.
- Oct 8: Armann 90, Keflavik 108. Won. Odds: Armann 4.30, Keflavik 1.18.
- Apr 19: Valur 90, Keflavik 76. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 15: Keflavik 88, Valur 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 11: Valur 79, Keflavik 78. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Alftanes coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Alftanes dropped from 1.34 to 1.12 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 187.5 to 190.5 since it was first published.
- 1st vs 5th in the Premier league standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALF moneyline | 1.34 | moved down 1.12 |
| KEF moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 4.25 |
| Total points | 187.5 | moved up 190.5 |
| ALF spread | −6.5 | moved down −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier league standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alftanes |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 468 | 380 | +88 |
| 2 |  KR Basket |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 390 | 329 | +61 |
| 3 |  Valur |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 351 | 320 | +31 |
| 4 |  Tindastoll |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 377 | 342 | +35 |
| 5 | Keflavik |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 436 | 409 | +27 |
| 6 |  Grindavik |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 356 | 367 | −11 |
| 7 |  Hottur |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 387 | 417 | −30 |
| 8 |  Stjarnan |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 369 | 387 | −18 |
| 9 |  IR Reykjavik |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 377 | 420 | −43 |
| 10 |  Njardvik |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 338 | 366 | −28 |
| 11 |  Sindri |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 354 | 388 | −34 |
| 12 |  Armann |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 334 | 412 | −78 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Alftanes host Keflavik in the Premier league on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.