Alba Berlin vs Ulm Prediction & Odds

BBL Sunday, October 25, 2026Sun, Oct 25 Start13:00ET Round 6

Alba BerlinHome · 3-3 · 11th · 1.27

9823222330

UlmAway · 3-4 · 12th · 3.40

8218251623

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Alba Berlin 23 22 23 30

Ulm 18 25 16 23

FT Uber Arena · GermanyUber Arena · Round 6

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

ALB +4.5 1.16 85%

Alba Berlin +4.5 on the spread edge −0.8%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won ALB +4.5 1.16 Alba Berlin +4.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 72.6% · market 73.4% edge −0.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.27 63.2% 63.9% −0.7% 76% Won

Total points O161.5 1.30 82.7% 70.8% +11.9% 85% Won

Point spread ALB +4.5 1.16 72.6% 73.4% −0.8% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Alba Berlin9890

Ulm8285

Total 175 actual 180

Winning margin ALB by 5 actual ALB by 16

Chance to win ALB 63% ALB won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Alba Berlin9890

Ulm8285

Total 175 Margin ALB by 5 Win ALB 63% Actual 180 · ALB won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 8+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Alba Berlin large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Ulm

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Alba Berlin vs Ulm

Alba Berlin Ulm

Last 11 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Alba Berlin 3-2

Oct 19: Alba Berlin 83, Bamberg 71. Won. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.34, Bamberg 3.05.
Oct 13: Alba Berlin 90, Igokea 79. Won. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.14, Igokea 4.50.
Oct 10: Trier 95, Alba Berlin 75. Lost. Odds: Trier 1.50, Alba Berlin 2.53.
Oct 7: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 86, Alba Berlin 110. Won. Odds: Slavia Prague ERA NBK 2.30, Alba Berlin 1.57.
Oct 3: Alba Berlin 83, Bamberg 98. Lost. Odds: Alba Berlin 1.31, Bamberg 3.27.

Ulm 1-4

Oct 21: PAOK 87, Ulm 78. Lost. Odds: PAOK 1.08, Ulm 7.00.
Oct 17: Ulm 98, Phoenix Hagen 107. Lost. Odds: Ulm 1.22, Phoenix Hagen 3.60.
Oct 14: Ulm 102, KK Bosna 93. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.36, KK Bosna 2.75.
Oct 10: Vechta 97, Ulm 92. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Vechta 2.31, Ulm 1.59.
Oct 7: Manresa 101, Ulm 89. Lost. Odds: Manresa 1.40, Ulm 2.80.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ALB moneyline	1.42	moved down 1.27
ULM moneyline	2.30	moved up 3.40
Total points	167.5	moved up 171.5
ALB spread	−4.5	moved down −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Alba Berlin host Ulm in the BBL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.