Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Prediction & Odds

BBL Friday, September 18, 2026Fri, Sep 18 Start14:00ET Round 1

Alba BerlinHome · 3-3 · 11th · 1.30

8921201830

ChemnitzAway · 2-5 · 16th · 3.32

8220231920

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Alba Berlin 21 20 18 30

Chemnitz 20 23 19 20

FT Uber Arena · GermanyUber Arena · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

CHE +12.5 1.79 79%

Chemnitz +12.5 on the spread edge +14.4%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won CHE +12.5 1.79 Chemnitz +12.5 on the spread Confidence79% model 64.4% · market 50.0% edge +14.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.22 64.3% 85.5% −21.2% 78% Won

Total points U167.5 1.80 55.2% 50.0% +5.2% 61% Lost

Point spread CHE +12.5 1.79 64.4% 50.0% +14.4% 79% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Alba Berlin8986

Chemnitz8279

Total 165 actual 171

Winning margin ALB by 7 actual ALB by 7

Chance to win ALB 66% ALB won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Alba Berlin8986

Chemnitz8279

Total 165 Margin ALB by 7 Win ALB 66% Actual 171 · ALB won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Alba Berlin large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Chemnitz

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz

Alba Berlin Chemnitz

Last 11 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Alba Berlin 3-2

Jun 21: Bayern 81, Alba Berlin 84. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 19: Alba Berlin 71, Bayern 61. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 17: Alba Berlin 83, Bayern 91. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 14: Bayern 79, Alba Berlin 86. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 12: Bayern 102, Alba Berlin 94. Lost. No odds on record.

Chemnitz 3-2

Sep 12: Giessen 70, Chemnitz 77. Won. No odds on record.
May 10: Basketball Braunschweig 104, Chemnitz 90. Lost. No odds on record.
May 7: Chemnitz 86, Frankfurt 82. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
May 3: Alba Berlin 82, Chemnitz 84. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 27: Chemnitz 62, Bamberg 89. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ALB moneyline	1.08	moved up 1.30
CHE moneyline	6.50	moved down 3.32
Total points	167.5	moved down 166.5
ALB spread	−13.5	moved up −9.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

BBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bayern	6	5	1	11	566	422	+144
2	Trier	6	5	1	11	597	524	+73
3	Frankfurt	5	4	1	9	451	423	+28
4	Syntainics MBC	6	4	2	10	507	479	+28
5	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	11	610	614	−4
6	Wurzburg	6	4	2	10	497	481	+16
7	Bamberg	7	4	3	11	616	594	+22
8	Rostock	7	4	3	11	621	572	+49
9	Bonn	6	3	3	9	512	485	+27
10	Basketball Braunschweig	6	3	3	9	535	567	−32
11	Alba Berlin	6	3	3	9	500	535	−35
12	Ulm	7	3	4	10	573	594	−21
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	10	521	584	−63
14	Jena	7	2	5	9	536	618	−82
15	Vechta	7	2	5	9	591	636	−45
16	Chemnitz	7	2	5	9	607	621	−14
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	9	600	633	−33
18	Hamburg	6	1	5	7	479	537	−58

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Play-in
Relegation - Pro A

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Alba Berlin host Chemnitz in the BBL on Friday, September 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.