Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa prediction
Al Shamal
25
23
18
28
Al Gharafa
20
22
14
16
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Al Shamal9493Al Gharafa7291Al Shamal9493Al Gharafa7291Total 184 Margin ALX by 2 Win ALX 56% Actual 166 · ALX won
Al Shamal
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Al Gharafa
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa
Al Shamal
Al Gharafa
Last 18 and 20 games with full stats · all competitions
Al Shamal at home, last 9 games · Al Gharafa away, last 10
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Al Shamal 1, Al Gharafa 1.
- Average total 206.5 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALX by 27 Jan 5, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 5, 2026 QBL Al Shamal 73–100 Al Gharafa 173 pts
- Oct 25, 2025 QBL Al Gharafa 116–124 OT Al Shamal 240 pts · OT
Last five games
Al Shamal
2-3 - Oct 13: Al Wakrah 76, Al Shamal 62. Lost. Odds: Al Wakrah 2.35, Al Shamal 1.54.
- Jan 31: Al Wakrah 86, Al Shamal 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 26: Al Khor 82, Al Shamal 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 19: Al Wakrah 76, Al Shamal 80. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 15: Al Shamal 83, Al-Rayyan 92. Lost. No odds on record.
Al Gharafa
3-2 - Oct 13: Al Ahli 68, Al Gharafa 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 24: Al Gharafa 97, Al Arabi 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 21: Al Khor 119, Al Gharafa 122. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 12: Al Gharafa 100, Al Ahli 109. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 8: Al Gharafa 103, Qatar Sports 99. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Al Shamal dropped from 1.69 to 1.42 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 11.5 — Al Shamal +3.8 per 100 possessions, Al Gharafa −7.7.
- 3rd vs 4th in the QBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 1.69 | moved down 1.42 |
| ALX moneyline | 1.90 | moved up 2.40 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| ALX spread | −1.5 | moved down −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
QBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Arabi |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 380 | 320 | +60 |
| 2 |  Al Sadd |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 350 | 286 | +64 |
| 3 | Al Shamal |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 339 | 285 | +54 |
| 4 | Al Gharafa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 309 | 328 | −19 |
| 5 |  Al Wakrah |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 313 | −16 |
| 6 |  Al-Rayyan |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 259 | 257 | +2 |
| 7 |  Al Ahli |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 329 | 370 | −41 |
| 8 |  Qatar Sports |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 277 | −33 |
| 9 |  Al Khor |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 271 | 342 | −71 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Qualification - Playoffs
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Shamal host Al Gharafa in the QBL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.