Al-Riyadi vs Sagesse Beirut prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin ALX by 3 Win ALX 58% Actual 142 · ALX won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Al-Riyadi vs Sagesse Beirut
Last 5 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Al-Riyadi 3, Sagesse Beirut 2.
- Average total 173.0 points per meeting
- Over 176.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALX by 21 Aug 3, 2026
Meetings
- Aug 3, 2026 Division 1 Al-Riyadi 100–79 Sagesse Beirut 179 pts
- Aug 1, 2026 Division 1 Sagesse Beirut 96–65 Al-Riyadi 161 pts
- Jul 30, 2026 Division 1 Al-Riyadi 99–86 Sagesse Beirut 185 pts
- Jul 28, 2026 Division 1 Sagesse Beirut 90–78 Al-Riyadi 168 pts
- Jul 26, 2026 Division 1 Al-Riyadi 87–85 Sagesse Beirut 172 pts
Last five games
- Oct 3: Al-Riyadi 82, AlUla 78. Won. Odds: Al-Riyadi 1.60, AlUla 2.15.
- Sep 30: Al-Riyadi 87, Al Ittihad 76. Won. Odds: Al-Riyadi 1.08, Al Ittihad 6.00.
- Sep 28: Kuwait SC 82, Al-Riyadi 83. Won. Odds: Kuwait SC 4.25, Al-Riyadi 1.17.
- Sep 26: Al-Riyadi 104, Indian Railways 81. Won. Odds: Al-Riyadi 1.01, Indian Railways 10.00.
- Aug 3: Al-Riyadi 100, Sagesse Beirut 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 3: Sagesse Beirut 87, Kuwait SC 74. Won. Odds: Sagesse Beirut 1.48, Kuwait SC 2.40.
- Oct 1: Al Arabi 85, Sagesse Beirut 90. Won. Odds: Al Arabi 4.75, Sagesse Beirut 1.14.
- Sep 29: Sagesse Beirut 95, AlUla 89. Won. Odds: Sagesse Beirut 1.95, AlUla 1.72.
- Sep 27: Shahrdari Gorgan 97, Sagesse Beirut 103. Won. Odds: Shahrdari Gorgan 2.87, Sagesse Beirut 1.35.
- Aug 3: Al-Riyadi 100, Sagesse Beirut 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Al-Riyadi and Sagesse Beirut played yesterday.
- 5-game winning streak for Al-Riyadi coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Sagesse Beirut coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sagesse Beirut dropped from 2.87 to 1.95 since they were first published.
- 7-0 at home for Al-Riyadi this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 1.35 | moved up 1.72 |
| SAG moneyline | 2.87 | moved down 1.95 |
| Total points | 174.5 | moved up 176.5 |
| ALX spread | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WASL standings
West Asia League
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 738 | 669 | +69 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 658 | 669 | −11 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 545 | 536 | +9 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 621 | 611 | +10 | |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 594 | 671 | −77 |
- West Asia League - Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al-Riyadi host Sagesse Beirut in the WASL on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.