Al Najma vs Al Ittihad prediction
Al Najma
18
9
17
21
10
Al Ittihad
15
23
15
12
5
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Al Najma7582Al Ittihad7081Al Najma7582Al Ittihad7081Total 163 Margin ALX by 1 Win ALX 53% Actual 145 · ALX won
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
Al Najma
Al Ittihad
Last five games
Al Najma
2-3 - Oct 4: Nuwaidrad 78, Al Najma 97. Won. Odds: Nuwaidrad 4.70, Al Najma 1.14.
- Apr 4: Al Najma 71, Al Manama 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Al Manama 95, Al Najma 92. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Al Najma 76, Al Manama 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 26: Al Manama 76, Al Najma 78. Won. No odds on record.
Al Ittihad
1-4 - Oct 6: Al Ittihad 59, Al Ahli 66. Lost. Odds: Al Ittihad 4.90, Al Ahli 1.13.
- Sep 30: Al-Riyadi 87, Al Ittihad 76. Lost. Odds: Al-Riyadi 1.08, Al Ittihad 6.00.
- Sep 28: Indian Railways 93, Al Ittihad 85. Lost. Odds: Indian Railways 3.25, Al Ittihad 1.28.
- Sep 26: Al Ittihad 97, Kuwait SC 105. Lost. Odds: Al Ittihad 2.90, Kuwait SC 1.34.
- Feb 19: Samaheej 76, Al Ittihad 91. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Al Ittihad coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Al Najma dropped from 1.22 to 1.07 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Al Najma, 5 for Al Ittihad.
- 2nd vs 5th in the Premier League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 1.22 | moved down 1.07 |
| ALX moneyline | 4.00 | moved up 6.40 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved up 165.5 |
| ALX spread | −8.5 | moved down −14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Muharraq |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 443 | 284 | +159 |
| 2 | Al Najma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 320 | 278 | +42 |
| 3 |  Al Hala |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 355 | 303 | +52 |
| 4 |  Al Ahli |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 297 | 293 | +4 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 276 | 327 | −51 |
| 6 |  Sitra Club |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 304 | 358 | −54 |
| 7 |  ISSA Town |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 254 | 316 | −62 |
| 8 |  Nuwaidrad |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 288 | 327 | −39 |
| 9 |  Al Manama |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 182 | 167 | +15 |
| 10 |  Samaheej |
3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 217 | 283 | −66 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Najma host Al Ittihad in the Premier League on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.