Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin ALX by 9 Win ALX 68% Actual 125 · ALX won
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli
Last five games
- Sep 30: Al-Riyadi 87, Al Ittihad 76. Lost. Odds: Al-Riyadi 1.08, Al Ittihad 6.00.
- Sep 28: Indian Railways 93, Al Ittihad 85. Lost. Odds: Indian Railways 3.25, Al Ittihad 1.28.
- Sep 26: Al Ittihad 97, Kuwait SC 105. Lost. Odds: Al Ittihad 2.90, Kuwait SC 1.34.
- Feb 19: Samaheej 76, Al Ittihad 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Feb 12: Bahrain Club 75, Al Ittihad 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Al Muharraq 102, Al Ahli 63. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 30: Al Ahli 73, Al Sadd 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Al Ahli 69, Al Muharraq 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Al Ahli 88, Al-Rayyan 93. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 26: Al Muharraq 90, Al Ahli 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Al Ahli coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Al Ittihad coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 160.5 to 158.5 since it was first published.
- 5th vs 4th in the Premier League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 6.40 | moved down 4.90 |
| ALX moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.13 |
| Total points | 160.5 | moved down 158.5 |
| ALX spread | +14.5 | moved down +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Premier League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 443 | 284 | +159 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 320 | 278 | +42 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 355 | 303 | +52 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 297 | 293 | +4 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 276 | 327 | −51 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 304 | 358 | −54 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 254 | 316 | −62 | |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 288 | 327 | −39 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 182 | 167 | +15 | |
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 217 | 283 | −66 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Ittihad host Al Ahli in the Premier League on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.