Al Gharafa vs Qatar Sports prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 187 Margin ALX by 9 Win ALX 72% Actual 181 · QAT won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Al Gharafa vs Qatar Sports
Last 20 and 18 games with full stats · all competitions
Al Gharafa at home, last 10 games · Qatar Sports away, last 10
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Al Gharafa 1, Qatar Sports 1.
- Average total 206.0 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALX by 4 Jan 8, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 8, 2026 QBL Al Gharafa 103–99 Qatar Sports 202 pts
- Dec 15, 2025 QBL Qatar Sports 111–99 Al Gharafa 210 pts
Last five games
- Oct 26: Al Gharafa 77, Al Wakrah 69. Won. Odds: Al Gharafa 2.85, Al Wakrah 1.28.
- Oct 22: Al Shamal 94, Al Gharafa 72. Lost. Odds: Al Shamal 1.42, Al Gharafa 2.40.
- Oct 13: Al Ahli 68, Al Gharafa 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 24: Al Gharafa 97, Al Arabi 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 21: Al Khor 119, Al Gharafa 122. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 24: Qatar Sports 82, Al Shamal 91. Lost. Odds: Qatar Sports 4.90, Al Shamal 1.09.
- Oct 10: Al Sadd 102, Qatar Sports 65. Lost. Odds: Al Sadd 1.05, Qatar Sports 7.30.
- Jan 24: Al Wakrah 92, Qatar Sports 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 21: Qatar Sports 72, Al-Rayyan 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 14: Qatar Sports 94, Al Sadd 112. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for Qatar Sports coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Qatar Sports dropped from 1.90 to 1.67 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Qatar Sports, 4 for Al Gharafa.
- Over/under moved up from 169.5 to 171.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.7 — Al Gharafa −7.7 per 100 possessions, Qatar Sports −15.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 1.76 | moved up 2.00 |
| QAT moneyline | 1.90 | moved down 1.67 |
| Total points | 169.5 | moved up 171.5 |
| ALX spread | −1.5 | moved up +2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
QBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 380 | 320 | +60 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 350 | 286 | +64 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 339 | 285 | +54 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 309 | 328 | −19 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 313 | −16 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 259 | 257 | +2 | |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 329 | 370 | −41 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 277 | −33 | |
| 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 271 | 342 | −71 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Qualification - Playoffs
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Gharafa host Qatar Sports in the QBL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.