Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah prediction
Al Gharafa
19
20
19
19
Al Wakrah
25
14
22
8
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Al Gharafa7791Al Wakrah6990Al Gharafa7791Al Wakrah6990Total 181 Margin ALX by 1 Win ALX 54% Actual 146 · ALX won
Al Gharafa
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Al Wakrah
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah
Al Gharafa
Al Wakrah
Last 20 and 18 games with full stats · all competitions
Al Gharafa at home, last 10 games · Al Wakrah away, last 9
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Al Gharafa 1, Al Wakrah 1.
- Average total 163.5 points per meeting
- Over 160.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALX by 13 Jan 1, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 1, 2026 QBL Al Gharafa 85–98 Al Wakrah 183 pts
- Dec 8, 2025 QBL Al Wakrah 68–76 Al Gharafa 144 pts
Last five games
Al Gharafa
2-3 - Oct 22: Al Shamal 94, Al Gharafa 72. Lost. Odds: Al Shamal 1.42, Al Gharafa 2.40.
- Oct 13: Al Ahli 68, Al Gharafa 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 24: Al Gharafa 97, Al Arabi 117. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 21: Al Khor 119, Al Gharafa 122. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 12: Al Gharafa 100, Al Ahli 109. Lost. No odds on record.
Al Wakrah
4-1 - Oct 24: Al Khor 63, Al Wakrah 73. Won. Odds: Al Khor 3.60, Al Wakrah 1.18.
- Oct 13: Al Wakrah 76, Al Shamal 62. Won. Odds: Al Wakrah 2.35, Al Shamal 1.54.
- Feb 2: Al Wakrah 73, Al Ahli 85. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jan 31: Al Wakrah 86, Al Shamal 72. Won. No odds on record.
- Jan 24: Al Wakrah 92, Qatar Sports 85. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Al Wakrah dropped from 1.95 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Al Gharafa, 1 for Al Wakrah.
- Over/under moved up from 156.5 to 160.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last five for Al Wakrah.
- 4th vs 5th in the QBL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 1.72 | moved up 2.85 |
| ALX moneyline | 1.95 | moved down 1.28 |
| Total points | 156.5 | moved up 160.5 |
| ALX spread | −1.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
QBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Arabi |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 380 | 320 | +60 |
| 2 |  Al Sadd |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 350 | 286 | +64 |
| 3 |  Al Shamal |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 339 | 285 | +54 |
| 4 | Al Gharafa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 309 | 328 | −19 |
| 5 | Al Wakrah |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 313 | −16 |
| 6 |  Al-Rayyan |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 259 | 257 | +2 |
| 7 |  Al Ahli |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 329 | 370 | −41 |
| 8 |  Qatar Sports |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 277 | −33 |
| 9 |  Al Khor |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 271 | 342 | −71 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Qualification - Playoffs
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Gharafa host Al Wakrah in the QBL on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.