Al Arabi vs Sagesse Beirut prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 175 Margin ALX by 11 Win ALX 75% Actual 175 · SAG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Al Arabi vs Sagesse Beirut
Last 7 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Sep 29: Al Arabi 76, Shahrdari Gorgan 85. Lost. Odds: Al Arabi 2.20, Shahrdari Gorgan 1.57.
- Sep 27: AlUla 96, Al Arabi 72. Lost. Odds: AlUla 1.24, Al Arabi 3.65.
- Apr 2: Al-Rayyan 79, Al Arabi 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 30: Al-Rayyan 71, Al Arabi 79. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Al Sadd 74, Al Arabi 76. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 29: Sagesse Beirut 95, AlUla 89. Won. Odds: Sagesse Beirut 1.95, AlUla 1.72.
- Sep 27: Shahrdari Gorgan 97, Sagesse Beirut 103. Won. Odds: Shahrdari Gorgan 2.87, Sagesse Beirut 1.35.
- Aug 3: Al-Riyadi 100, Sagesse Beirut 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Aug 1: Sagesse Beirut 96, Al-Riyadi 65. Won. No odds on record.
- Jul 30: Al-Riyadi 99, Sagesse Beirut 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Nothing at stake: the standings are already decided for Al Arabi.
- 4th vs 1st in the WASL standings.
- Different pace — Al Arabi averaged 81.7 possessions per game, Sagesse Beirut 74.6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 4.20 | moved up 4.75 |
| SAG moneyline | 1.17 | moved down 1.14 |
| Total points · regulation | 182.5 | moved down 181.5 |
| ALX spread · regulation | +11.5 | +11.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WASL standings
Regular Season · Group B
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 288 | 271 | +17 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 284 | 251 | +33 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 266 | 278 | −12 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 233 | 271 | −38 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Arabi host Sagesse Beirut in the WASL on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.