Al Arabi vs Al Ahli Prediction & Odds

QBL Tuesday, October 27, 2026Tue, Oct 27 Start11:00ET

Al ArabiHome · 3-1 · 1st · 1.02

11426282832

Al AhliAway · 1-3 · 7th · 10.00

10124132836

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Al Arabi 26 28 28 32

Al Ahli 24 13 28 36

FT Al Gharafa Sports Club · QatarAl Gharafa Sports Club

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.02 71%

Al Arabi to win edge −16.6%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.02 Al Arabi to win Confidence71% model 71.4% · market 88.0% edge −16.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.02 71.4% 88.0% −16.6% 71% Won

Total points U164.5 1.78 58.6% 50.7% +7.9% 59% Lost

Point spread ALX +20.5 1.83 55.9% 49.6% +6.3% 56% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Al Arabi11486

Al Ahli10174

Total 160 actual 215

Winning margin ALX by 12 actual ALX by 13

Chance to win ALX 78% ALX won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Al Arabi11486

Al Ahli10174

Total 160 Margin ALX by 12 Win ALX 78% Actual 215 · ALX won

Last five games

Al Arabi 1-4

Oct 25: Al Arabi 82, Al-Rayyan 84. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Al Arabi 1.26, Al-Rayyan 3.10.
Oct 1: Al Arabi 85, Sagesse Beirut 90. Lost. Odds: Al Arabi 4.75, Sagesse Beirut 1.14.
Sep 29: Al Arabi 76, Shahrdari Gorgan 85. Lost. Odds: Al Arabi 2.20, Shahrdari Gorgan 1.57.
Sep 27: AlUla 96, Al Arabi 72. Lost. Odds: AlUla 1.24, Al Arabi 3.65.
Apr 2: Al-Rayyan 79, Al Arabi 91. Won. No odds on record.

Al Ahli 3-2

Oct 22: Al Ahli 75, Al Khor 74. Won. Odds: Al Ahli 1.24, Al Khor 3.25.
Oct 20: Al Najma 67, Al Ahli 54. Lost. Odds: Al Najma 1.19, Al Ahli 3.95.
Oct 13: Al Ahli 77, Nuwaidrad 69. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 13: Al Ahli 68, Al Gharafa 76. Lost. No odds on record.
Oct 6: Al Ittihad 59, Al Ahli 66. Won. Odds: Al Ittihad 4.90, Al Ahli 1.13.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ALX moneyline	1.04	moved down 1.02
ALX moneyline	6.85	moved up 10.00
Total points	164.5	moved down 163.5
ALX spread	−20.5	moved down −22.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

QBL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Al Arabi	4	3	1	7	380	320	+60
2	Al Sadd	4	3	1	7	350	286	+64
3	Al Shamal	4	3	1	7	339	285	+54
4	Al Gharafa	4	2	2	6	309	328	−19
5	Al Wakrah	4	2	2	6	297	313	−16
6	Al-Rayyan	3	2	1	5	259	257	+2
7	Al Ahli	4	1	3	5	329	370	−41
8	Qatar Sports	3	1	2	4	244	277	−33
9	Al Khor	4	0	4	4	271	342	−71

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Qualification - Playoffs

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Al Arabi host Al Ahli in the QBL on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

All predictions