Al Ahli vs Al-Rayyan prediction
Al Ahli
17
27
15
26
Al-Rayyan
25
27
32
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Al Ahli8581Al-Rayyan10681Al Ahli8581Al-Rayyan10681Total 162 Win ALX 52% Actual 191 · ALX won
Al Ahli vs Al-Rayyan
Al Ahli
Al-Rayyan
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Al Ahli 1, Al-Rayyan 3.
- Average total 161.3 points per meeting
- Over 164.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ALX by 5 Mar 28, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 28, 2026 QBL Al Ahli 88–93 Al-Rayyan 181 pts
- Mar 23, 2026 QBL Al-Rayyan 93–69 Al Ahli 162 pts
- Jan 26, 2026 QBL Al Ahli 76–64 Al-Rayyan 140 pts
- Oct 27, 2025 QBL Al-Rayyan 91–71 Al Ahli 162 pts
Last five games
Al Ahli
3-2 - Oct 29: Al Ahli 100, Al Manama 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Al Ahli 1.62, Al Manama 2.10.
- Oct 27: Al Arabi 114, Al Ahli 101. Lost. Odds: Al Arabi 1.02, Al Ahli 10.00.
- Oct 22: Al Ahli 75, Al Khor 74. Won. Odds: Al Ahli 1.24, Al Khor 3.25.
- Oct 20: Al Najma 67, Al Ahli 54. Lost. Odds: Al Najma 1.19, Al Ahli 3.95.
- Oct 13: Al Ahli 77, Nuwaidrad 69. Won. No odds on record.
Al-Rayyan
2-3 - Oct 27: Al-Rayyan 69, Al Sadd 90. Lost. Odds: Al-Rayyan 2.65, Al Sadd 1.33.
- Oct 25: Al Arabi 82, Al-Rayyan 84. After overtime. Won. Odds: Al Arabi 1.26, Al-Rayyan 3.10.
- Apr 2: Al-Rayyan 79, Al Arabi 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 30: Al-Rayyan 71, Al Arabi 79. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Al Ahli 88, Al-Rayyan 93. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Al-Rayyan dropped from 1.22 to 1.06 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Al-Rayyan, 1 for Al Ahli.
- Over/under moved up from 162.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Al-Rayyan.
- 161.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 164.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ALX moneyline | 4.00 | moved up 5.90 |
| ALX moneyline | 1.22 | moved down 1.06 |
| Total points | 162.5 | moved up 164.5 |
| ALX spread | +8.5 | moved up +12.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
QBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Arabi |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 380 | 320 | +60 |
| 2 |  Al Sadd |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 350 | 286 | +64 |
| 3 |  Al Shamal |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 339 | 285 | +54 |
| 4 |  Al Gharafa |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 309 | 328 | −19 |
| 5 |  Al Wakrah |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 297 | 313 | −16 |
| 6 | Al-Rayyan |
3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 259 | 257 | +2 |
| 7 | Al Ahli |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 329 | 370 | −41 |
| 8 |  Qatar Sports |
3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 244 | 277 | −33 |
| 9 |  Al Khor |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 271 | 342 | −71 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Qualification - Playoffs
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Al Ahli host Al-Rayyan in the QBL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.