AIK Basket vs Lund prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 156 Margin BAS by 4 Win BAS 59% Actual 134 · BAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
AIK Basket vs Lund
Last 29 and 25 games with full stats · all competitions
AIK Basket at home, last 14 games · Lund away, last 11
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: AIK Basket 1, Lund 1.
- Average total 147.5 points per meeting
- Over 145.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUN by 7 Dec 20, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 20, 2025 Basketligan Women Lund 80–73 AIK Basket 153 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 Basketligan Women AIK Basket 73–69 Lund 142 pts
Last five games
- Oct 9: Sodertalje 80, AIK Basket 56. Lost. Odds: Sodertalje 1.01, AIK Basket 10.00.
- Oct 4: Alvik 87, AIK Basket 76. Lost. Odds: Alvik 1.29, AIK Basket 3.15.
- Mar 29: AIK Basket 68, Ostersund 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 27: Ostersund 79, AIK Basket 61. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: AIK Basket 68, Sodertalje 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 11: Lund 60, Uppsala 68. Lost. Odds: Lund 4.20, Uppsala 1.17.
- Oct 3: Ostersund 74, Lund 65. Lost. Odds: Ostersund 1.25, Lund 3.45.
- Mar 21: Alvik 73, Lund 85. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 7: Ostersund 82, Lund 62. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 1: Visby 48, Lund 86. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for AIK Basket coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lund dropped from 2.75 to 2.25 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 147.5 to 145.5 since it was first published.
- 9th vs 10th in the Basketligan Women standings.
- Different pace — AIK Basket averaged 78.4 possessions per game, Lund 87.3.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| BAS moneyline | 1.40 | moved up 1.47 |
| LUN moneyline | 2.75 | moved down 2.25 |
| Total points | 147.5 | moved down 145.5 |
| BAS spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 401 | 317 | +84 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 366 | 345 | +21 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 332 | 263 | +69 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 496 | 281 | +215 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 440 | 319 | +121 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 400 | 396 | +4 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 320 | 288 | +32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 374 | 382 | −8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 328 | 416 | −88 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 381 | −89 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 290 | 450 | −160 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 278 | 479 | −201 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Basketettan Women
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
AIK Basket host Lund in the Basketligan Women on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.