AEL vs Morphou Prediction & Odds

Division A Friday, October 30, 2026Fri, Oct 30 Start13:00ET Round 4

AELHome · 3-1 · 3rd · 1.06

7120221910

MorphouAway · 1-3 · 6th · 5.80

4911151310

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

AEL 20 22 19 10

Morphou 11 15 13 10

FT Nicos Solomonides Arena · CyprusNicos Solomonides Arena · Round 4

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.06 85%

AEL to win edge −1.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.06 AEL to win Confidence85% model 82.0% · market 83.8% edge −1.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.06 82.0% 83.8% −1.8% 85% Won

Total points O154.5 1.76 53.3% 50.0% +3.3% 55% Lost

Point spread MOR +13.5 1.82 43.7% 50.4% −6.7% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

AEL7184

Morphou4972

Total 156 actual 120

Winning margin AEL by 12 actual AEL by 22

Chance to win AEL 82% AEL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

AEL7184

Morphou4972

Total 156 Margin AEL by 12 Win AEL 82% Actual 120 · AEL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 5+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

AEL large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Morphou

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

AEL vs Morphou

AEL Morphou

Last 6 and 20 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

AEL 4-1

Oct 26: ETHA Engomi 70, AEL 74. Won. Odds: ETHA Engomi 3.75, AEL 1.18.
Oct 21: AEL 76, Fyllingen 58. Won. Odds: AEL 1.02, Fyllingen 7.30.
Oct 17: AEL 89, Paralimni 77. Won. Odds: AEL 1.74, Paralimni 1.93.
Oct 12: Apoel BC 80, AEL 73. Lost. Odds: Apoel BC 2.20, AEL 1.57.
Oct 6: Spartak Pleven 61, AEL 79. Won. Odds: Spartak Pleven 1.60, AEL 2.24.

Morphou 1-4

Oct 25: Morphou 76, Anorthosis 74. Won. Odds: Morphou 1.75, Anorthosis 1.95.
Oct 18: Keravnos 91, Morphou 82. Lost. Odds: Keravnos 1.01, Morphou 8.50.
Oct 9: ETHA Engomi 76, Morphou 65. Lost. Odds: ETHA Engomi 2.07, Morphou 1.64.
Mar 7: Paralimni 89, Morphou 73. Lost. No odds on record.
Feb 14: Keravnos 96, Morphou 73. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
AEL moneyline	1.11	moved down 1.06
MOR moneyline	5.75	moved up 5.80
Total points	154.5	moved up 155.5
AEL spread	−13.5	−13.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Division A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	AEK Larnaca	4	4	0	8	345	270	+75
2	Keravnos	4	4	0	8	370	303	+67
3	AEL	4	3	1	7	307	276	+31
4	ETHA Engomi	4	2	2	6	274	290	−16
5	Apoel BC	3	2	1	5	243	218	+25
6	Morphou	4	1	3	5	272	312	−40
7	Paralimni	3	1	2	4	243	253	−10
8	Anorthosis	4	0	4	4	301	329	−28
9	Apollon	3	1	2	4	221	268	−47
10	Achilleas K.	3	0	3	3	212	269	−57

Winners stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

AEL host Morphou in the Division A on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.