AEK Larnaca vs Wurzburg prediction
AEK Larnaca
22
18
15
18
Wurzburg
17
23
19
6
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
AEK Larnaca7389Wurzburg6570AEK Larnaca7389Wurzburg6570Total 159 Margin LAR by 19 Win LAR 83% Actual 138 · LAR won
AEK Larnaca
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Wurzburg
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
AEK Larnaca vs Wurzburg
AEK Larnaca
Wurzburg
Last 9 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
AEK Larnaca at home, last 4 games · Wurzburg away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
AEK Larnaca
3-2 - Sep 16: CSM Oradea 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.08, AEK Larnaca 6.50.
- May 25: AEK Larnaca 68, Keravnos 64. Won. No odds on record.
- May 21: Keravnos 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 17: AEK Larnaca 76, Keravnos 75. Won. No odds on record.
- May 13: Keravnos 81, AEK Larnaca 86. Won. No odds on record.
Wurzburg
2-3 - Oct 2: Wurzburg 83, Bonn 76. Won. Odds: Wurzburg 2.00, Bonn 1.75.
- Sep 27: Ulm 67, Wurzburg 90. Won. Odds: Ulm 1.25, Wurzburg 3.70.
- Sep 25: Wurzburg 68, Oldenburg 77. Lost. Odds: Wurzburg 1.50, Oldenburg 2.55.
- Sep 14: Wurzburg 73, Manchester Basketball 74. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 27: Bonn 66, Wurzburg 63. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on AEK Larnaca dropped from 4.74 to 3.40 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 158.5 to 156.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.3 — AEK Larnaca +14.2 per 100 possessions, Wurzburg +4.9.
- 1st vs 4th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAR moneyline | 4.74 | moved down 3.40 |
| WUR moneyline | 1.17 | moved up 1.26 |
| Total points | 158.5 | moved down 156.5 |
| LAR spread | +10.5 | moved down +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group E
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 337 | 321 | +16 |
| 2 |  Dziki Warszawa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 332 | +13 |
| 3 |  Iraklis |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 339 | 319 | +20 |
| 4 | Wurzburg |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 316 | 298 | +18 |
| 5 |  Tartu Ulikool |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 365 | 394 | −29 |
| 6 |  MZT Skopje |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 293 | 331 | −38 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
AEK Larnaca host Wurzburg in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.