AEK Larnaca vs Tartu Ulikool prediction
AEK Larnaca
32
25
22
20
Tartu Ulikool
21
30
20
22
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
AEK Larnaca9989Tartu Ulikool9379AEK Larnaca9989Tartu Ulikool9379Total 168 Margin LAR by 10 Win LAR 70% Actual 192 · LAR won
AEK Larnaca
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tartu Ulikool
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
AEK Larnaca vs Tartu Ulikool
AEK Larnaca
Tartu Ulikool
Last 9 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
AEK Larnaca at home, last 4 games · Tartu Ulikool away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
AEK Larnaca
3-2 - Oct 18: AEK Larnaca 83, Apoel BC 79. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 1.10, Apoel BC 4.85.
- Oct 14: Dziki Warszawa 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.16, AEK Larnaca 4.88.
- Oct 11: Apollon 56, AEK Larnaca 90. Won. Odds: Apollon 4.65, AEK Larnaca 1.14.
- Oct 7: AEK Larnaca 73, Wurzburg 65. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 3.40, Wurzburg 1.26.
- Sep 16: CSM Oradea 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.08, AEK Larnaca 6.50.
Tartu Ulikool
2-3 - Oct 17: Keila KK 71, Tartu Ulikool 89. Won. Odds: Keila KK 8.20, Tartu Ulikool 1.05.
- Oct 14: MZT Skopje 92, Tartu Ulikool 95. Won. Odds: MZT Skopje 1.25, Tartu Ulikool 2.77.
- Oct 9: Tartu Ulikool 74, Rigas Zelli 94. Lost. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 3.00, Rigas Zelli 1.34.
- Oct 6: Tartu Ulikool 76, Dziki Warszawa 103. Lost. Odds: Tartu Ulikool 4.24, Dziki Warszawa 1.20.
- Oct 2: Ventspils 92, Tartu Ulikool 85. Lost. Odds: Ventspils 2.50, Tartu Ulikool 1.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on AEK Larnaca dropped from 1.42 to 1.26 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.6 — AEK Larnaca +14.2 per 100 possessions, Tartu Ulikool +4.6.
- 1st vs 5th in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
- Different pace — AEK Larnaca averaged 72.4 possessions per game, Tartu Ulikool 79.2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| LAR moneyline | 1.42 | moved down 1.26 |
| TAR moneyline | 2.60 | moved up 2.72 |
| Total points | 166.5 | 166.5 |
| LAR spread | −6.5 | −6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group E
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 337 | 321 | +16 |
| 2 |  Dziki Warszawa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 332 | +13 |
| 3 |  Iraklis |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 339 | 319 | +20 |
| 4 |  Wurzburg |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 316 | 298 | +18 |
| 5 | Tartu Ulikool |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 365 | 394 | −29 |
| 6 |  MZT Skopje |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 293 | 331 | −38 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
AEK Larnaca host Tartu Ulikool in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.