AEK Larnaca vs Apoel BC Prediction & Odds — Oct 18

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Division A Sunday, October 18, 2026Sun, Oct 18 Start09:00ET Round 2

AEK LarnacaHome · 4-0 · 1st · 1.10

8330192113

Apoel BCAway · 2-1 · 5th · 4.85

7918202318

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

AEK Larnaca 30 19 21 13

Apoel BC 18 20 23 18

FT Kition Athletic Center · CyprusKition Athletic Center · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.13 85%

AEK Larnaca to win edge +3.4%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.13 AEK Larnaca to win Confidence85% model 83.9% · market 80.5% edge +3.4%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.13 83.9% 80.5% +3.4% 85% Won

Total points O156.5 1.83 58.6% 50.0% +8.6% 62% Won

Point spread LAR -12.5 1.86 45.0% 49.2% −4.2% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

AEK Larnaca8387

Apoel BC7973

Total 160 actual 162

Winning margin LAR by 14 actual LAR by 4

Chance to win LAR 84% LAR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

AEK Larnaca8387

Apoel BC7973

Total 160 Margin LAR by 14 Win LAR 84% Actual 162 · LAR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

AEK Larnaca large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Apoel BC

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

AEK Larnaca vs Apoel BC

AEK Larnaca Apoel BC

Last 9 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

AEK Larnaca 3-2

Oct 14: Dziki Warszawa 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.16, AEK Larnaca 4.88.
Oct 11: Apollon 56, AEK Larnaca 90. Won. Odds: Apollon 4.65, AEK Larnaca 1.14.
Oct 7: AEK Larnaca 73, Wurzburg 65. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 3.40, Wurzburg 1.26.
Sep 16: CSM Oradea 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Lost. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.08, AEK Larnaca 6.50.
May 25: AEK Larnaca 68, Keravnos 64. Won. No odds on record.

Apoel BC 3-2

Oct 12: Apoel BC 80, AEL 73. Won. Odds: Apoel BC 2.20, AEL 1.57.
May 1: AEK Larnaca 85, Apoel BC 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 28: Apoel BC 95, AEK Larnaca 87. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 24: AEK Larnaca 89, Apoel BC 72. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 21: Apoel BC 82, AEK Larnaca 79. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
LAR moneyline	1.13	moved down 1.10
APO moneyline	4.67	moved up 4.85
Total points	156.5	156.5
LAR spread	−12.5	−12.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Division A standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	AEK Larnaca	4	4	0	8	345	270	+75
2	Keravnos	4	4	0	8	370	303	+67
3	AEL	4	3	1	7	307	276	+31
4	ETHA Engomi	4	2	2	6	274	290	−16
5	Apoel BC	3	2	1	5	243	218	+25
6	Morphou	4	1	3	5	272	312	−40
7	Paralimni	3	1	2	4	243	253	−10
8	Anorthosis	4	0	4	4	301	329	−28
9	Apollon	3	1	2	4	221	268	−47
10	Achilleas K.	3	0	3	3	212	269	−57

Winners stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

AEK Larnaca host Apoel BC in the Division A on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.