AEK Athens vs Maroussi Prediction & Odds

Basket League Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start09:00ET Round 1

AEK AthensHome · 2-3 · 9th · 1.25

9118281827

MaroussiAway · 1-4 · 11th · 3.70

7012221620

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

AEK Athens 18 28 18 27

Maroussi 12 22 16 20

FT SUNEL Arena · GreeceSUNEL Arena · Round 1

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.25 89%

AEK Athens to win edge +12.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.25 AEK Athens to win Confidence89% model 86.9% · market 74.1% edge +12.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 89%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.25 86.9% 74.1% +12.8% 89% Won

Total points O155.5 1.29 82.6% 71.5% +11.1% 89% Won

Point spread ATH +1.5 1.24 88.9% 73.7% +15.2% 89% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

AEK Athens9194

Maroussi7078

Total 172 actual 161

Winning margin ATH by 16 actual ATH by 21

Chance to win ATH 87% ATH won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

AEK Athens9194

Maroussi7078

Total 172 Margin ATH by 16 Win ATH 87% Actual 161 · ATH won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

AEK Athens large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Maroussi

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

AEK Athens vs Maroussi

AEK Athens Maroussi

Last 8 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

AEK Athens 1-4

Sep 26: Olympiacos 93, AEK Athens 80. Lost. Odds: Olympiacos 1.07, AEK Athens 7.25.
May 30: AEK Athens 68, Olympiacos 95. Lost. No odds on record.
May 28: Olympiacos 94, AEK Athens 77. Lost. No odds on record.
May 25: AEK Athens 102, Aris 99. Won. No odds on record.
May 17: Aris 90, AEK Athens 81. Lost. No odds on record.

Maroussi 2-3

Apr 25: PAOK 101, Maroussi 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 18: Maroussi 108, Kolossos Rhodes 93. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 29: Iraklis 72, Maroussi 91. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 21: Maroussi 94, Mykonos 103. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 14: Maroussi 61, Peristeri 84. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ATH moneyline	1.32	moved down 1.25
MAR moneyline	3.15	moved up 3.70
Total points	165.5	moved up 166.5
ATH spread	−6.5	moved down −7.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basket League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	PAOK	5	5	0	10	390	357	+33
2	Aris	5	4	1	9	419	352	+67
3	Olympiacos	5	5	0	10	432	326	+106
4	Peristeri	5	3	2	8	405	444	−39
5	AS Karditsas	5	3	2	8	357	356	+1
6	Panathinaikos	5	4	1	9	451	373	+78
7	Lefkadas	5	2	3	7	394	402	−8
8	Kolossos Rhodes	5	2	3	7	403	413	−10
9	AEK Athens	5	2	3	7	379	397	−18
10	Iraklis	5	1	4	6	367	379	−12
11	Maroussi	5	1	4	6	374	406	−32
12	Mykonos	5	1	4	6	377	412	−35
13	Vikos	5	1	4	6	381	431	−50
14	Promitheas	5	1	4	6	348	429	−81

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Elite League

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

AEK Athens host Maroussi in the Basket League on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.