Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans prediction
Adelaide
32
20
15
16
Cairns Taipans
17
17
17
18
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Adelaide8398Cairns Taipans6987Adelaide8398Cairns Taipans6987Total 185 Margin ADE by 11 Win ADE 77% Actual 152 · ADE won
Adelaide
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Cairns Taipans
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans
Adelaide
Cairns Taipans
Last 10 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Adelaide 4, Cairns Taipans 0.
- Average total 184.5 points per meeting
- Over 188.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ADE by 20 Dec 24, 2025
Meetings
- Dec 24, 2025 NBL Adelaide 93–73 Cairns Taipans 166 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 NBL Adelaide 105–101 OT Cairns Taipans 206 pts · OT
- Oct 18, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 86–91 Adelaide 177 pts
- Oct 2, 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans 79–110 Adelaide 189 pts
Last five games
Adelaide
2-3 - Sep 24: Perth 98, Adelaide 97. Lost. Odds: Perth 2.03, Adelaide 1.76.
- Sep 19: Melbourne United 95, Adelaide 97. Won. Odds: Melbourne United 1.43, Adelaide 2.76.
- Apr 5: Sydney 113, Adelaide 101. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 1: Adelaide 92, Sydney 91. Won. No odds on record.
- Mar 28: Sydney 106, Adelaide 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Cairns Taipans
2-3 - Sep 23: Cairns Taipans 93, Tasmania JackJumpers 87. Won. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.76, Tasmania JackJumpers 2.04.
- Sep 20: Sydney 111, Cairns Taipans 90. Lost. Odds: Sydney 1.27, Cairns Taipans 3.60.
- Feb 19: New Zealand Breakers 115, Cairns Taipans 84. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 12: Cairns Taipans 85, Melbourne United 89. Lost. No odds on record.
- Feb 8: Brisbane Bullets 72, Cairns Taipans 81. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Adelaide.
- 184.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 188.5.
- 7th vs 4th in the NBL standings.
- Different pace — Adelaide averaged 75.2 possessions per game, Cairns Taipans 83.2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ADE moneyline | 1.28 | moved down 1.27 |
| CAI moneyline | 3.60 | moved down 3.55 |
| Total points | 188.5 | 188.5 |
| ADE spread · regulation | −7.5 | moved down −8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 | Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 |  Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 | Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Adelaide host Cairns Taipans in the NBL on Sunday, September 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.