Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets prediction
Adelaide
17
26
23
23
Brisbane Bullets
30
20
26
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Adelaide8993Brisbane Bullets9691Adelaide8993Brisbane Bullets9691Total 184 Margin ADE by 2 Win ADE 57% Actual 185 · BRI won
Adelaide
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brisbane Bullets
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets
Adelaide
Brisbane Bullets
Last 10 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Adelaide 4, Brisbane Bullets 0.
- Average total 171.5 points per meeting
- Over 190.5 0 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ADE by 33 Jan 28, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 28, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 74–107 Adelaide 181 pts
- Jan 4, 2026 NBL Brisbane Bullets 86–97 Adelaide 183 pts
- Dec 5, 2025 NBL Adelaide 90–65 Brisbane Bullets 155 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 NBL Adelaide 87–80 Brisbane Bullets 167 pts
Last five games
Adelaide
3-2 - Oct 30: New Zealand Breakers 101, Adelaide 108. Won. Odds: New Zealand Breakers 1.80, Adelaide 1.88.
- Oct 24: South East Melbourne 108, Adelaide 94. Lost. Odds: South East Melbourne 1.71, Adelaide 2.06.
- Oct 16: Tasmania JackJumpers 88, Adelaide 94. Won. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.49, Adelaide 2.50.
- Oct 11: Sydney 78, Adelaide 84. Won. Odds: Sydney 1.23, Adelaide 3.85.
- Oct 7: Adelaide 91, Melbourne United 96. Lost. Odds: Adelaide 2.40, Melbourne United 1.54.
Brisbane Bullets
2-3 - Oct 29: Brisbane Bullets 85, Cairns Taipans 107. Lost. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 1.83, Cairns Taipans 1.85.
- Oct 24: Illawarra Hawks 81, Brisbane Bullets 98. Won. Odds: Illawarra Hawks 1.62, Brisbane Bullets 2.10.
- Oct 21: Tasmania JackJumpers 106, Brisbane Bullets 85. Lost. Odds: Tasmania JackJumpers 1.20, Brisbane Bullets 3.80.
- Oct 15: Brisbane Bullets 115, South East Melbourne 105. Won. Odds: Brisbane Bullets 2.50, South East Melbourne 1.31.
- Oct 8: Cairns Taipans 97, Brisbane Bullets 91. Lost. Odds: Cairns Taipans 1.60, Brisbane Bullets 2.25.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Adelaide.
- −10.0 points away — Brisbane Bullets averaged 98.0 at home and 88.0 away this season.
- 171.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 190.5.
- 7th vs 6th in the NBL standings.
- Different pace — Adelaide averaged 75.2 possessions per game, Brisbane Bullets 83.2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ADE moneyline | 1.30 | moved down 1.28 |
| BRI moneyline | 3.30 | moved down 3.20 |
| Total points | 189.5 | moved up 190.5 |
| ADE spread | −7.5 | −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 979 | 881 | +98 |
| 2 |  Tasmania JackJumpers |
10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 956 | 908 | +48 |
| 3 |  Perth |
9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 839 | 870 | −31 |
| 4 |  Cairns Taipans |
11 | 6 | 5 | .545 | 1014 | 1062 | −48 |
| 5 |  Melbourne United |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 967 | 925 | +42 |
| 6 | Brisbane Bullets |
10 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 938 | 967 | −29 |
| 7 | Adelaide |
11 | 5 | 6 | .455 | 1001 | 1031 | −30 |
| 8 |  South East Melbourne |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 969 | 943 | +26 |
| 9 |  New Zealand Breakers |
10 | 4 | 6 | .400 | 922 | 906 | +16 |
| 10 |  Illawarra Hawks |
11 | 3 | 8 | .273 | 1057 | 1149 | −92 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Adelaide host Brisbane Bullets in the NBL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.