Absheron Lions vs Geneva Lions prediction
Absheron Lions
16
20
23
24
Geneva Lions
25
24
30
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 57%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Absheron Lions8387Geneva Lions10585Absheron Lions8387Geneva Lions10585Total 172 Margin ABS by 2 Win ABS 52% Actual 188 · GEN won
Absheron Lions
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Geneva Lions
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Absheron Lions vs Geneva Lions
Absheron Lions
Geneva Lions
Last 5 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Absheron Lions
2-3 - Sep 14: VEF Riga 105, Absheron Lions 88. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Won. No odds on record.
- Nov 12, 2025: Trefl Sopot 98, Absheron Lions 78. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 5, 2025: BC Kalev/Cramo 71, Absheron Lions 101. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 29, 2025: Absheron Lions 86, Neftchi IK 104. Lost. No odds on record.
Geneva Lions
3-2 - Oct 3: Geneva Lions 71, Fribourg Olympic 64. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.87, Fribourg Olympic 1.87.
- Sep 29: Zurich 46, Geneva Lions 109. Won. Odds: Zurich 18.00, Geneva Lions –.
- Sep 26: Geneva Lions 86, Sdent BBC Nyon 69. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.08, Sdent BBC Nyon 6.25.
- Sep 15: Benfica 87, Geneva Lions 78. Lost. Odds: Benfica 1.14, Geneva Lions 5.05.
- May 26: Geneva Lions 66, Fribourg Olympic 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Geneva Lions coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Geneva Lions dropped from 2.67 to 1.87 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 161.5 to 163.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 41.9 — Absheron Lions −13.9 per 100 possessions, Geneva Lions +28.0.
- 6th vs 3rd in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ABS moneyline | 1.44 | moved up 1.80 |
| GEN moneyline | 2.67 | moved down 1.87 |
| Total points | 161.5 | moved up 163.5 |
| ABS spread | −3.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 375 | 348 | +27 |
| 2 |  Bakken Bears |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 333 | 330 | +3 |
| 3 | Geneva Lions |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 347 | 331 | +16 |
| 4 |  Denizli Basket |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 340 | 335 | +5 |
| 5 |  BC Prievidza |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | 348 | −10 |
| 6 | Landau Lions |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 349 | 390 | −41 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Absheron Lions host Geneva Lions in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.