Abejas vs Santos Prediction & Odds

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.45 54.9% 68.1% −13.2% 59% Lost

Total points U182.5 1.39 75.7% 65.8% +9.9% 67% Lost

Point spread SAN +12.5 1.26 76.3% 72.7% +3.6% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Abejas8286

Santos10684

Total 170 actual 188

Winning margin ABE by 2 actual SAN by 24

Chance to win ABE 55% SAN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Abejas8286

Santos10684

Total 170 Margin ABE by 2 Win ABE 55% Actual 188 · SAN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Abejas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Santos

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Abejas vs Santos

Abejas Santos

Last 30 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Head-to-head

Average total 168.8 points per meeting
Over 175.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
Last meeting ABE by 10 Oct 15, 2026

Meetings

Oct 15, 2026 LNBP Santos 8494 Abejas 178 pts
Oct 12, 2026 LNBP Abejas 8474 Santos 158 pts
Sep 26, 2026 LNBP Abejas 9278 Santos 170 pts
Sep 25, 2026 LNBP Abejas 8687 Santos 173 pts
Aug 8, 2025 LNBP Santos 9075 Abejas 165 pts

Last five games

Abejas 4-1

Oct 7: Correcaminos 89, Abejas 95. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 3.90, Abejas 1.21.
Oct 6: Correcaminos 76, Abejas 98. Won. Odds: Correcaminos 2.50, Abejas 1.45.
Oct 2: Mineros 74, Abejas 81. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.42, Abejas 2.60.
Oct 1: Mineros 90, Abejas 78. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Abejas 2.50.
Sep 26: Abejas 92, Santos 78. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.36, Santos 2.80.

Santos 3-2

Oct 7: Mineros 82, Santos 93. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.28, Santos 3.35.
Oct 6: Mineros 96, Santos 75. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.36, Santos 2.80.
Oct 2: Santos 108, Freseros 87. Won. Odds: Santos 1.55, Freseros 2.25.
Oct 1: Santos 96, Freseros 81. Won. Odds: Santos 1.57, Freseros 2.25.
Sep 26: Abejas 92, Santos 78. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.36, Santos 2.80.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

Key insights

3-game winning streak for Abejas coming into this game.
Net rating difference of 6.6 — Abejas −10.3 per 100 possessions, Santos −3.7.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Abejas.
168.8 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
8th vs 11th in the LNBP standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
ABE moneyline	1.36	moved up 1.45
SAN moneyline	2.90	moved down 2.55
Total points	175.5	175.5
ABE spread	−4.5	moved up −3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Abejas vs Santos prediction